A Tasman low will bring a wet, windy and dreary weekend to eastern Victoria and the southern and central New South Wales coasts, with wind gusts in excess of 90km/h and dangerous surf conditions expected on Saturday.
The low developed off the southeast Australian mainland on Thursday and has been edging northwest towards the coast gradually, causing an increase of winds and showers over eastern VIC and the southern NSW coast this afternoon and evening. This low will edge further north this evening and into Saturday, causing strong winds and showers to spread to the central NSW coast.
The Bureau of Meteorology has issued a severe weather warning for damaging winds in excess of 90km/h, which will affect the southern NSW coast from early tomorrow morning, before spreading up the NSW coast as far north as Seal Rocks during Saturday afternoon and evening. These winds will gradually ease from the south during Saturday afternoon, and later in the evening over the central NSW coast.
Large and damaging surf is also expected, with coastal erosion possible for coastal beaches south of Seal Rocks. Those beaches facing south and southeast will be the most dangerous, with north facing beaches the safest although it is still recommended to still stay away from the surf.
The low will move northeast away from the coast later on Saturday and into Sunday, causing conditions to ease. A few showers will continue to linger into Sunday and next week, as moderate to fresh and gusty onshore winds persist
Image 1: Wind gust forecast and mean sea level pressure for 4pm Saturday, 18 June, 2021 (Source: Windy.com)
Image 2: Accumulated precipitation forecast from the ACCESSC model from 10am Friday 17 June, 2021 to 10pm Saturday 18 June, 2021 (Source: Weatherwatch Metcentre)